A copy of the PowerPoint presentation I gave at ION is now available under Downloads.
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Tags: Analysis, Charts, Downloads, ION
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on Wednesday, May 14th, 2008 at 12:20 pm and is filed under Analysis, Charts, Downloads, ION.
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May 14th, 2008 at 12:22 pm
Meanwhile, I’m waiting for NCSoft to report their quaterly numbers as well as some new data for May for some other games before updating the website. So expect an update in the next week or two.
May 14th, 2008 at 1:12 pm
And Blizzard just announced today World of Warcraft at 10.7 million worldwide, so the presentation is already outdated.
May 15th, 2008 at 10:43 am
PDF versions of my 2008 ION talk and my 2006 AGC talk are now online as well.
May 20th, 2008 at 5:35 am
Wonderful slides and a great website overall. I have a question about the data overall. The slide “Total MMOG Active Subscriptions - Absolute Contribution” shows a significant drop over all MMOGs in the first quarter/half of 2006. What’s up with that? Interestingly, other slides (such as “MMOG Active Subscriptions 200,000+) do not show this drop. In this slide Lineage has a spike in early 2006 but no other game does. Is there maybe a formula error in the spreadsheet?
May 20th, 2008 at 12:58 pm
The other charts do show it, it’s just most noticeable on that particular chart because the relative contributions of other MMOGs are all sharply adjusted.
The reason for the dramatic drop is an unexplained spike in Lineage 1 active users in December 2005. Lineage had been on the decline, but it showed a very large and unexpected spike in December 2005. Could have been due to an influx of customers due to the closing of some illegal Lineage servers. Whatever the cause, when we next get data from NCSoft in March 2006, not only has the number gone back down, but it’s continued on it’s downward “trend” from before, so there’s a “sudden” drop of 800,000 players that in reality was probably spread out over the preceeding 3 months.
Compounding the problem is the spotty nature of the data. I don’t get updates on every MMOG every month. The 2006 GDC was in March that year and I got updates on some MMOGs from some sources there. EverQuest, EverQuest II, Star Wars Galaxies, and Final Fantasy XI all also had drops in subscribers primarily due to the impact of World of Warcraft. In reality, these drops were spread out over the 12 months previous, but again I just didn’t know about them until March 2006.
So it’s not so much as subscriptions dropped suddenly but were simply never that high over the previous few months.
July 15th, 2008 at 5:08 am
Hi SirBruce, just a note, unless it is me.
I was interested to see the presentation.
But, sorry to tell you that,but I think your presentation has been hacked/changed.
As you’ve got some weird slide on it, you may want to put back a backup.
It is just to notify you.
August 18th, 2008 at 5:41 pm
Your charts are very interesting, but the labels are inaccurate.
WoW, for example, doesn’t have 10 million active subscribers. It has 10 million accounts.
Could you please give us a chart that shows activate subscribers, for a more accurate understanding how many players are in a game?
April 27th, 2009 at 5:26 pm
thank you for the very nice sources.
July 11th, 2009 at 1:14 pm
Более 4х лет регулярно занимаюсь этим направлением и нахожу ваши доводы слишком несерьезными
August 27th, 2009 at 8:45 am
What happened to the guy doing this website and research? Ever since I found it I’ve always been curious to see the charts for the newer games that came out in 2008 and 2009. So I was wondering if any new charts with the newer games would be coming soon or update or if this site has officially died? (Too bad if it did, I found the research fascinating myself, lol)
November 26th, 2009 at 11:51 am
Thanks Nice Post Goood